United States, North Korea, tough stance on nuclear talks
United States, North Korea, tough stance on nuclear talks
SEOUL - while the US Prepare for resume nuclear negotiations With North Korea this week, both sides are tightening their positions, reducing hopes for a compromise.
North Korea says it has made sufficient concessions on nuclear disarmament and has become more strident in its demands for the United States to correspond. Last week, Pyongyang threatened to resume Build your nuclear forces if the United States does not eliminate sanctions or provide other ways to improve relations.
Washington accredits the sanctions for bringing Pyongyang into negotiations and remains firm in maintaining pressure, even when the posture causes friction with the ally South Korea, which has spoken openly about the loosening of sanctions.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who is scheduled to meet with his North Korean counterpart, Kim Yong Chol, in New York on Thursday, said last week that sanctions would be maintained until the verified denuclearization of North Korea is complete.
During a meeting with the president of South Korea on September 19, Kim Jong Un agreed to dismantle a nuclear plant. Gerald F. Seib of the WSJ explains what this agreement could mean for the USA. UU Photo: AP (Originally published on September 20, 2018)
The lack of progress in the talks would lend credibility to doubts among US officials and security analysts over whether North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is sincere about delivering his June agreement with President Trump on the denuclearization.
Despite their differences, both sides seem anxious for another meeting between the two leaders, suggesting that the general dialogue is unlikely to collapse, even if this week's talks are not going well. Mr. Pompeo said on Sunday that Washington recognizes the concessions that Pyongyang has made to improve relations, including the cessation of nuclear and missile tests.
"The American people need to remember that the North Koreans have not launched a missile, they have not conducted a nuclear test, they allowed the return of the American remains," he said in an interview with CBS.
Still, analysts said there was little chance of an advance in New York.
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This has been a process led by the leadership, and neither of the two leaders seems ready to leave the process yet.
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"Both parties cling to their maximalist demands," said Jung Pak, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington.
Pyongyang is taking a tougher stance to strengthen its negotiating position, while Washington may take advantage of the possibility of a second Trump-Kim summit to gain an advantage, he said.
Ms. Pak said that Mr. Kim "probably perceives that Trump is personally investing in a victory with North Korea and less interested in the details of denuclearization."
Lifting sanctions would be a bet for the USA. UU., Said Duyeon Kim, associate member of the Center for a New Security of the United States.
"Once they are lifted, it will be difficult or impossible to recover them because China and Russia would veto them in the United States Security Council," he said.
Naoko Aoki, a member of nuclear safety at Rand Corp., said that despite low expectations, neither side would move away from diplomacy because Trump still wants to disarm North Korea and Kim needs better relations with the outside world. to fulfill its mission. aim of economic development.
"This has been a process led by the leadership, and neither of the two leaders seems ready to abandon the process yet," he said.
Since the June summit between Messrs. Trump and Kim, North Korea has tried to hold only high-level meetings with Secretary Pompeo or President Trump, refusing to grant a special hearing or appoint a counterpart to the Special Representative of the States. United for North Korea, Stephen Biegun. who was appointed in August.
South Korea has tried to act as a mediator while improving ties with North Korea to make them more friendly in years. Seoul's attempts to establish economic ties with the North and calls to ease sanctions have drawn criticism from US officials, who believe these steps are premature in the absence of full denuclearization.
On Tuesday, a spokesman for South Korean President Moon Jae-in told reporters he hoped the United States would seek to improve relations with North Korea while trying to persuade Pyongyang to hand over its weapons.
"The first two clauses of the Singapore agreement were to improve relations and bring perpetual peace to the Korean Peninsula, along with denuclearization," he said. "I think this time, both the US and North Korea will focus more on that part of the agreement."
Kim Dong-yub, a professor of security studies at Kyungnam University in South Korea, said North Korea believes its concessions are substantial and that if Kim gave it more ground, he would risk losing his face at home.
"Kim Jong Un, although he is a dictator, has a domestic audience to which he must demand respect," he said.
Other observers from North Korea said the additional US concessions. UU They would be undesirable.
Ms. Aoki said that the North Korean steps (the dismantling of a missile launching site and a nuclear testing facility, and a moratorium on weapons testing) are equivalent to peripheral measures. The regime still has nuclear weapons and has not shown that it has stopped producing fuel for those weapons, he said.
Ms. Pak, of the Brookings Institution, said that, at some point, Mr. Kim or Mr. Trump would make themselves felt.
"The question is, who will blink first and who thinks that time is on their side?" He said.
Write to Andrew Jeong in andrew.jeong@wsj.com
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