State of the partial examinations: the "reorganizations" of the Senate could still lead the...
State of the partial examinations: the "reorganizations" of the Senate could still lead the democrats to wrest control of the Republican Party
With the midterm elections only days away, the narrowness of the Senate "elections" is creating an element of uncertainty over the control of the House by the Republican Party, which increases the possibility that the Democrats can still win the election. control on Tuesday if the key races are on their way. .
Unlike the House of Representatives, where Democrats are expected to make a profit and even take the deck, the battlefields of the Senate are more favorable to Republicans and it is anticipated that the Republican Party will have its slim majority, or even that expand.
the Fox News Power Rankings places 50 seats in the Senate in the Republican column (including likely or inclined Republicans, and Republican Party seats that are not available for this year's elections), and 45 in the Democratic column. Five races are marked as "thrown." But the proximity of the five races "of launch" indicates that the democrats have a small possibility of taking the Senate, even if the sure bet is that the republicans have the camera.
In Nevada, where Senator Dean Heller faces Democrat Jacky Rosen, the Average RealClearPolitics from recent surveys gives Heller an advantage of only 1 point,
In Arizona, the average CPR has Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, Republican leader Martha McSally at 0.7 percent. A recent Fox News Survey he had the race as a draw, although other polls fluctuated enormously, one gave Sinema a 6-point lead and another showed McSally a 7-point lead.
In Missouri, Republican Josh Hawley has an average 2-point lead over Sen. Claire McCaskill. A Fox News poll this week also had the race in a draw.
In Indiana, Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly has an average of 0.8 percent advantage over Mike Braun, although the recent Fox News poll caused Donnelly to lead with seven points.
In Florida, polls show that Democratic Senator Bill Nelson is constantly leading Republican Rick Scott, but only by about two points.
If the Democrats are going to take the Senate, they will need the five races, which are all within the margin of error, to continue on their way. In addition to that, they would have to pick up a large scalp from one of the breeds that are not so close.
STATE OF THE MIDDLE MEANS: CROSS FEELS BETO HEAT IN A NEW SURVEY, LIKE BLACKBURN PULLS AWAY
The Democrats expect, in particular, that recovery will occur in Texas, where Democrats have been investing money in the race to put Beto O'Rourke on the line in his career against Republican Sen. Ted Cruz. The average of RealClearPolitics has Cruz ahead by an average of 6.5 points, with a survey last week that shows Cruz ahead with 10. However, a Survey of emerson He showed Cruz ahead with only three, suggesting that the race could still be within reach of O'Rourke.
Democrats may also have considered Tennessee a possible recovery, where Phil Bredesen was once close to Republican Marsha Blackburn. But in recent days, that seems to be moving away from the Democrats. Emerson's poll this week shows Blackburn ahead with 8 points, while a Fox News Survey shows it ahead by 9.
MCSALLY, THE UNDEMBLED VOTERS OF SINEMA TARGET ARIZONA AS SENATE RACE ENTER IN THE FINAL DAYS
There could also be an opportunity for Democrats in Mississippi. There, the Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith is leading the race in a three-way division, but is not expected to reach 50 percent, which, due to state rules, would cause a second round. If that happened, the runoff would probably be the focus of national attention and both sides would invest significant resources in the race, which could shake the race into a red state.
On the House side, the Real Clear Politics map shows 203 seats of the House slanted by Democrat and 196 seats tilted toward Republicans, with 36 in the "throwing" column. Power Rankings of Fox News puts the division in 207 seats for the Democrats and 199 for the Republicans, and the rest in the air. 218 seats are needed to claim the majority.
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