Will Trump really break with Saudi Arabia?
Will Trump really break with Saudi Arabia?
Since the beginning of his administration, President Donald Trump has emphasized close relations with Saudi Arabia. Along with his son-in-law Jared Kushner, who has a close relationship with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Trump has tried to strengthen ties with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to help pressure Iran and ensure the sale of arms. Now, that approach is under unprecedented pressure with the apparent murder and dismemberment at a Saudi consulate in Istanbul by Jamal Khashoggi, a columnist for the Washington Post . Turkey says it has audio and video of a fifteen-member Saudi team that is committing this crime.
Far from appeasing, the Khashoggi affair continues to provoke outrage in the United States and abroad. "In the current circumstances, we have decided to suspend some political visits," French President Emmanuel Macron said on Thursday. Trump, who had initially suggested that the dishonest elements may have been responsible, said yesterday that the consequences will be "very serious" if Saudi Arabia is responsible for the murder. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has announced that he is retiring from attending the Future Investment Initiative summit in Saudi Arabia, although he plans to attend an antiterrorist meeting against terrorism in Riyadh at the end of October. Turkey, which has been constantly filtering information about the dreadful fate of Khashoggi, is doing everything possible to fuel the firestorm in an effort to separate Saudi Arabia and the United States.
The actions, or inaction, of the Trump administration are also beginning to be scrutinized. CNN is reporting that Turkey knew, in a few hours, what had happened at the Saudi Arabian consulate. In particular, the role of the crown prince is being scrutinized. This is raising doubts about whether the government knew it too, long before the murder was made public. At the same time, eleven Democratic senators have sent Trump. a letter demanding information about any financial link you may have with Saudi Arabia.
At the same time, the role of the crown prince is undergoing close scrutiny. According to the Guardian's Jonathan Freedland, "The war in Yemen, of which he is recognized as the architect, has been about to project the Saudi force, as it was last year.arrest and imprisonment of hundreds of potential challengers to his authority, including members of his own family. The total brazenness of Khashoggi's murder in a foreign country, with fifteen Saudi officials flying to Istanbul carrying equipment to dismember a body, followed later by a squad of mop-cleaned cleaners before the Turkish authorities can inspect the facility, suggests a ruler I wanted to send A message: I can kill my enemies with impunity. "
Trump himself is warning against a break in relations, pointing to the sale of weapons to the kingdom. In addition, the prospect of a rise in oil prices weighs heavily on their decisions. Trump has shown little or no appetite for trying to blame the culprits; rather, it has tried to strengthen the Saudi regime. Among Republicans in the House of Representatives, some on the right seek to reinforce Trump's position by claiming that Khashoggi is a questionable character. This position has been proposed in a variety of outlets . London Viewer Editor Freddy Gray, for example, animadverted, "The Saudi trolls have been active in spraying Khashoggi, no doubt. But does that mean that Khashoggi was no more than a liberal mimoso? Clearly not. Sometimes, in newspapers or magazines, reporters are removed or removed stories because they are too close to the story. They can not see it objectively. At Washington Post When it comes to Jamal Khashoggi, the whole newspaper is too close to history. Sample."
But Tamara Cofman Wittes, of the Brookings Institution, has a very different opinion. She arguethat such claims about Khashoggi are irremediably hypertrophied. According to her, "All this does not mean that the Brotherhood is merely benign, that its principles are compatible with democracy, or anything else so simplistic. It is simply to say that the history of the kingdom and the Brotherhood is not a simple work of morals, and that those who affirm the sympathies of the Khashoggi Brotherhood as a kind of black mark reveal nothing but their ignorance of the kingdom, the region and his story."
Still, the broader question is geopolitics. Will the Trump government be forced to fundamentally alter the traditional ties with Saudi Arabia that have prevailed since Franklin Roosevelt met with Saudi King Ibn Saud in February 1945 aboard the United States cruise? Quincy? Or will this be a moment more like Tiananmen Square, when the international outrage at China's bloodthirsty actions reached a crescendo, only to calm down, since it became a regular activity in the following years?
Jacob Heilbrunn is the editor of the National interest.You can follow him @Jacobheilbrunn.
Image: Reuters
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