THE NOTE: The parties campaign in the midst of uncertainties in the medium term

THE NOTE: The parties campaign in the midst of uncertainties in the medium term https://i0.wp.com/www.eresviral.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Demócratas-luchan-por-los-resultados-la-representación-en-la-primaria-de-Boston.jpg?fit=260%2C36&ssl=1

THE NOTE: The parties campaign in the midst of uncertainties in the medium term













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The shot with Rick Klein



Democrats and Republicans are facing each other, of course.



But in reality they are campaigning one over the other, playing completely different campaigns, animated by disparate themes and directed by the President Donald Trump, sometimes different sets of facts.



Both parties may be right, or extremely wrong.



It is clear that campaigns at this time have less to do with undecided voters than different estimates of what will motivate people to vote.



Democrats are plotting a final push of two weeks focused on medical care, confident in his opinion on the number 1 problem that appears in the campaign messages from coast to coast.



Trump is trying to change that issue completely, trying to make partial exams refer to a migrants caravan he is, without proof, blaming about the democrats.





Pedro Pardo / AFP / Getty Images
The Honduran migrants who go in a caravan to the USA. UU They hold a demonstration so that the authorities allow the rest of the group to cross, in Ciudad Hidalgo, Chiapas, Mexico, after crossing from Guatemala, on October 20, 2018.

The very different moves are evident in the campaigns for the Senate in Texas, where Trump's rally with Senator Ted Cruz took over the headlines. It is also obvious in the race for the governor in Florida, where Hillary Clinton will raise money behind closed doors (no public event was scheduled) for Democrat Andrew Gillum on Tuesday.



Both sides think they are right and think that their voters will respond. The truth is that nobody knows, and that this. choice it is volatile in a different way to previous competitions with national implications.





The reduction with MaryAlice Parks



President Trump is honest, open and transparent about the political value he sees in the caravan of fleeing migrants Violence and poverty in Central America.



Not only is he not misinterpreting the words, he also clearly stated that the caravan, and the solid images of the caravan, could be good for Republicans this fall, so he wants to talk about it as much as possible.



Of course, it is a problem. immigration and national security are important issues in virtually any election, at any time.



But the president is not talking about the legislation he has worked on or what the party has proposed. It is not talking about a new diplomacy or plans to contain the insecurity and gang violence at the source in Central America.



Republicans have leaned over and lost immigration reform since the president took office.



What Trump is trying to do is change of other issues that voters said they also care about, such as medical care, salaries and corruption, because those issues are not playing well.



Up to a point, that's fair. But the alarmists, those who have a racial charge and, possibly, a tactic to attract fear for political ends must be considered from a critical perspective.



The only real idea of ​​the president is close and militarize The border is probably illegal. The National Guard or other military officers could help the Border Patrol, but again, that's a real conversation we're not having.





The TIP with John Verhovek



Senator Kamala Harris wants you to know that her trip to Iowa is all about 2018.



"I'm really focused on the next 15 days, you can focus on what you're thinking," Harris said. answer to a question from ABC News on Monday about his presidential aspirations.



The California Democrat is in the in the middle of a two-day campaign The swing that will take her through central and eastern Iowa, and while events can boost her party's candidates in this cycle, her rhetoric suggests that she has her eyes on the future.





Tom Williams / CQ Roll Call / Getty Images
Senator Kamala Harris, Democrat for California, addresses the Senate Policy lunches at the Capitol on May 22, 2018. 

"This moment will happen at some point, we'll get through this, I promise," he told a crowd in downtown Des Moines on Monday night.



Harris has four campaign stops scheduled for Tuesday in eastern Iowa: Cedar Falls, Waterloo, Iowa City and Cedar Rapids, as he seeks to push the Democrats at Hawkeye State in the final weeks of the campaign.





The playlist





ABC News' "Start here" Podcast. The Tuesday morning episode features the ABC News correspondent, Matt Gutman, who is registered from the migrant caravan in Mexico. ABC News national affairs correspondent Tom Llamas brings us up to date on the governor and senate race in the state of Florida. And, Juju Chang, of ABC News, explains the filtered filtering of the Trump administration that many say unjustly targets transgender people. https://bit.ly/2M7OS5c







FiveThirtyEight policy podcast: What the hell should we do with the huge advantage of Democrats' fundraising? ABC News friends at FiveThirtyEight discuss how to make sense of a fundraising advantage that has no recent precedent: does it predict a better outcome for Democrats than expected, or changes in fundraising methods? They turned into a bad indicator of results? https://53eig.ht/2ShahIC







WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW TODAY



President Donald Trump is scheduled to comment on the White House State Leadership Day for officials from Alaska, California and Hawaii at 2 p.m. In the evening, he receives an informational meeting, and then dinner, with high-ranking military leaders.

Vice President Mike Pence will speak at the meeting of the National Space Council at 11:30 a.m. EDT. The NSC is expected to vote on the recommendations to the Trump Space Force, which would be recognized as the sixth branch of the armed forces.

Hillary Clinton arrives at the campaign trial of Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, the Democratic candidate in the governor's race in Florida. This event is closed, press.

Georgia's Secretary of State, Brian Kemp, and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams fight in their first government debate before midterm elections. Georgia's governor's career has attracted national attention for both Abrams' attempt to become the nation's first African-American governor and for Kemp's alleged suppressive tactics. 

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The Note is a daily feature of ABC News that highlights the political analysis of the upcoming day. Please come back on Tuesday to see the latest news.

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