Khashoggi Killing Rocks, the role of Saudi Arabia, is the Arab ally of the West
Khashoggi Killing Rocks, the role of Saudi Arabia, is the Arab ally of the West
MANAMA, Bahrain. The uproar over the murder of a Saudi journalist has jeopardized Saudi Arabia's ability to encourage others against Iran, posing a challenge to the Middle East policy of the Trump administration, US and Arab officials said.
Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis He highlighted those concerns this weekend. with the rare public criticism of an ally, saying at a security conference here that Saudi Arabia's actions were destabilizing for the entire region "at a time when it most needs it."
Mr. Mattis did not come to blame the Saudi leaders for the writer Jamal Khashoggi. Death of Oct. 2, but his comments drew attention to how the frightening murder-And its management by the kingdom-has tightened the close ties of the Saudi leadership with President Donald Trump. The Trump administration has placed the kingdom at the center of a Middle East policy largely defined by efforts to contain Iranian influence.
The United States and other Western governments are now trying to balance the political cost of supporting the monarchy with the need to preserve the role of the kingdom as its most important Arab ally. The Arab and Western allies fear that the kingdom will have trouble making the moral argument that it should lead efforts to counter Iran, say government officials and experts.
"They are worried because Saudi Arabia anchors the relationship with the United States ... and because of regional stability," said a senior Western official who tracks the Middle East, referring to the kingdom's Arab allies. "They think it weakens Saudi Arabia."
Saudi officials have tried to show the allies that the Khashoggi incident is an aberration.
The network of economic ties between the US UU And Saudi Arabia is so complex that it can complicate diplomacy in times of turmoil. Shelby Holliday of WSJ discusses the various ways in which the United States and Saudi Arabia are economically intertwined.
Speaking at the same Bahraini conference, Saudi Arabia's foreign minister, Adel al-Jubeir, described Saudi Arabia as a beacon of light that fights Iran's "vision of darkness". He dismissed the public response to Mr. Khashoggi's death as "hysterical".
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, last week, called Mr. Khashoggi's death a "horrible incident" and jury justice.
Saudi officials have struggled to present a credible narrative of what happened, As the Turkish authorities released information about the continuous investigation bit by bit., contradicting the initial negative denials of the kingdom.
The Saudi authorities have so far arrested 18 people in connection with the death of Mr. Khashoggi and described it as "premeditated", but denied that Prince Mohammed, the daily ruler of the country, played a role, an opinion that some leaders have received with skepticism, including Mr. Trump. Turkish and Western officials suspect that the operation would have required the approval of the highest level of government.
The US Department of State UU He has imposed travel restrictions on 21 Saudi government employees suspected of involvement in the murder. More sanctions could arise, including financial sanctions targeting human rights violators, a possibility raised by US lawmakers.
Some regional allies joined behind Saudi Arabia.
King Abdullah II of Jordan and Imran Khan of Pakistan, both recipients of Saudi financial assistance, showed up at The main investment conference of Riyadh after American and European executives and officials withdrew from the Khashoggi crisis.
But Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi, one of Saudi Arabia's closest Arab partners, was invited but was not, according to two people familiar with the matter. A spokesperson for Mr. Sisi did not respond to a request for comment.
Privately, the Gulf and other Arab allies expressed concern that Khashoggi's assassination could compromise his own relations with the West.
"This is outrageous because this is not the kind of behavior we are used to seeing from Saudi Arabia," Mohammed Alyahya, an independent political analyst from Saudi Arabia. "This is the kind of things Iran and Syria do."
Mr. Alyahya noted that, while Saudi Arabia's regional objectives remain unchanged, its priority at this time is national: review the security apparatus to ensure that such an incident does not happen again.
Saudi Arabia-USA UU Relations improved after Trump took office, fueled by shared concerns about Iran and the desire to scrap the Obama administration's agreement to lift sanctions on Tehran's nuclear ambitions, which Trump did in May.
The role of Riyadh against Iran is the most prominent within Yemen, where it heads a military coalition against Houthi rebels aligned with Iran. US and Gulf officials say Iran backs the rebels with weapons and training, an accusation that Tehran denies.
The war has turned into a humanitarian disaster and thousands of civilians have died under the Saudi-led bombing campaign. The death of Mr. Khashoggi has resulted in renewed scrutiny on the part of United States lawmakers, the conduct of the war by Saudi Arabia and the United States military support for it, including the refueling of air and intelligence.
The White House still publicly supports a billion-dollar arms deal in Saudi Arabia, but lawmakers on both sides have suggested they consider blocking aspects of the agreement, which include precision munitions and other weapons.
The killing of Khashoggi "will require Saudi Arabia to present a much stronger public case whereby Iran's influence is malignant and destabilizing, while yours is in everyone's interest," said Kori Schake, deputy director-general of the International Institute of Strategic Studies of London. think tank based.
German Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen on Saturday asked that the circumstances surrounding the journalist's murder be "fully investigated and brought to light, regardless of the considerable political consequences." Germany has already promised to suspend all arms sales to the kingdom until there is more clarity about what happened to Mr. Khashoggi.
Washington's calculation is complex. As serious as Khashoggi's murder has become in the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia, there are significant implications for any movement the United States makes that could be seen as an overreaction in Riyadh and an opening for US competitors.
Riyadh could react angrily to any US degradation of Saudi Arabia and persuade other Gulf allies to cool relations with the United States, perhaps interrupting military exercises, for example.
"We have had a close relationship with Saudi Arabia for decades, and its geopolitical importance affects multiple strategic, energy and regional interests," said Norman Roule, a retired US intelligence officer. UU With three decades of regional experience. "A break in the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia would be seen as a gift from Moscow, Tehran and Beijing."
Write to Margherita Stancati in margherita.stancati@wsj.com and Gordon Lubold in Gordon.Lubold@wsj.com
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